2016年8月26日 星期五

Elections


I like elections.

Don’t take me wrong.  I do not like to take part in elections.  I just like to watch elections.  There is nothing funning about this.  It is just like many football fans who have never run in a football field, or even have never kick a real football.

I am particularly interested in elections of the medical profession.  This interest was cultivated when I worked as an MO the first few days.  I was approached by my senior with an entry form for the HKMA and then a ballot paper to vote for him for the position as an office bearer (I remember what post, but I am not going to disclose here).  It was only after 2 months that I realized I had to pay an entry fee for becoming a HKMA member.  The department secretary told me and chased me for the payment that had been advanced.  Then I came across several books from Jeffrey Archer on election of Members of Parliament of the UK.  They were not political analyses, but were stories on how the characters ran for the elections and the strategies and tricks behind.  Of course these were Jeffery Archer and were over-simplified and far-fetched as usual.  But they were interesting.

To go for an election is to win in the election, you might think.  But there is only one winner, or a fixed number of winners, for a particular election.  There ought to be other reasons behind some of the candidates.  Some might run to get more public exposure, and at the same time to gain some experience, so as to prepare for the next round.  Some might act as spoilers, either with or without insights.  So basically you can safely conclude that candidates are for winning, for themselves or for others; now or in the future; in the elections concerned or in other arenas.

The straight-forward way to win is to get more votes.  This has been achieved via different ways: radiating your personal charisma, standing firm on your visions and views, making bare promises, beating your opponents in public debates, telling every voters that they are right, providing tangible or intangible benefits (or both), appearing with your spouse; and strangely, organizing campaign concerts with pop stars and much shouting and screaming.  A more straight-forward way to some is to minimize votes to opponents.  Some might pray for bad weather on voting days so that not-so-die-hard fans of their opponents would stay at home.  Smearing is quite effective.  Scandals work better.  Planting spoilers is another tradition way.  In small area elections, like District Council Elections where voters are in the range of 1000, it is reported in newspaper that spoilers can be inexpensive costing only $100,000 each.  Of course spoilers can be free of charge provided that they can be convinced of being supported and having the chance to win.

A surer way to win is to eliminate your opponents.  In some I-don’t-know-more-or-less civilized places, this is achieved by physically eliminating them with bullets.  In Hong Kong, it seems that scandals, or better named them “black materials”, work better.  Recently, a new move was introduced.  The original plan was to ask potential candidates of the September Legislative Council Elections to sign a new form, a supplement to the standard declaration, to acknowledge three parts of the Basic Law that state Hong Kong is an inalienable part of China.  This move highlighted that a relatively new ideology of “Hong Kong Independence” is against the Basic Law.  It turned out that a potential candidate, LEUNG Tin Kei, did sign the form and declared that he would abide by the Basic Law.  However, he was still disqualified by the returning officer.

While it will be the court to decide whether such disqualification is legitimate if there is a election petition, I cannot stop myself from forming college-standard common-sense opinions.  First, I disagree with many and think that the returning officer did have the power to disqualify a candidate.  Therefore there is no place for seeking of Basic Law interpretation.  The rules are clear.  The returning officer has the power.  However, it is how the power was exercised that matters.  The returning officer needed to justify her act and that the justification should satisfy logic and common sense.  I can think of a not-very-good example.  An officer of the Airport Security Unit can prevent a person from entering the airport, no matter what that person declares, if he is of the opinion that the person might pose a threat to the safety of the airport.  Whether the officer has abused his power is upon his justification.  The burden of proof is on him.  Of course LEUNG was not said to endanger the Legco.  He was decided not meeting the requirements to be a candidate.  But as a result, he did miss his plane.  

So it is up to the returning officer to justify herself.  Relevant considerations would include: How diligent had she collected and processed information on LEUNG?  Had she taken a deposition from LEUNG?  Had LEUNG been given a chance to defend himself?  What further action could LEUNG take if he were given a second chance, provided that he had signed the additional form and made declarations?  What if LEUNG had really given up his original ideology?  When would he be eligible again?  Taken the serious consequences in mind (that LEUNG would miss the chance for election and that there might be an election petition), how sure was the returning officer that LEUNG had not genuinely changed his stance?  What standard of proof should apply?  Should she be sure beyond reasonable doubt, or she could base her decision on a balance of probability?

Elections are interesting, provided that you are not taking part in them, particularly that you are not barred from taking part in them.  And, they are interesting provided that you can detach yourself from consideration of any consequence of the elections.  Just don’t think about: What next?


  (Source: HKMA News August 2016)