2016年9月26日 星期一

Voting


Congratulations to the Hon. Dr. Pierre CHAN!

If election is interesting, election by voting is more interesting.

September 4, early in the morning, I went to cast my 2 votes for the Legco election.  I was again allocated to the polling station at the Hong Kong Park.  It was not a very much user friendly station.  Actually there were few residential blocks nearby.  So it was not in actual vicinity of walking distance.  It was quite far away from the MTR Admiralty station, though people were not expected to take public transport before they could vote.  There were a few metered parking spaces.  But the design of the road created a bottle-neck area leading to the peak tram station and a taxi station.  So there were always taxis and tourist buses going in and out.  That was the reason why I drove there early morning.  In previous years, I could secure a parking space if I was early enough.  Voting in the afternoon or evening would be more difficult.  This year, there were many cars there already before 9 am.  My prediction that there would be a new record for the number of voters turned out to be correct just from my simple observation.

I waited and waited.  Then I could park my car at the curb with minimal obstruction to other traffic.  Those behind me were not as lucky.  One of the many police officers wandering around immediately came to me and asked why I parked my car illegally-by-definition there.  I told him: “I have to cast my vote.”  I left without caring what he was going to do to my car, or to me when I returned.  I reminded my friends to plan how they were going to the polling stations by describing my experience.  They teased me whether I had asked if the police officer knew who I was.  That was quite an infamous quote used not too rarely by famous people.  I was no famous person.  But if I did say so, I would tell the officer that I was among the most power people in Hong Kong.  I am one of the citizens of Hong Kong.

To exercise my power, I had 2 votes.  The vote for Functional Constituency Election was simple.  I got one vote, and there was only one seat.  No matter how many candidates there were, I needed only to choose the one whom I wanted to represent me.  The majority won.  However, the vote for Geographical Constituency Election was not as simple.  I got only one vote, but there were a total of 35 candidates assorted in 13 lists.  And there were 6 seats.  The dynamic behind was very complicated.  By no means I could choose my favorite 6 candidates to fill the 6 seats.  I would then worry that if all my friends shared my view and chose the same candidate as mine, the other 5 seats might go to those candidates we wanted least to represent us.  Our second and third choices might receive 0 vote in extreme cases.  A natural tendency would be to evenly distribute votes among friends and family members to the 6 candidates of our choice, or at least to focus on 2 to 3 candidates instead of one.  Then how about other votes who shared similar beliefs but did not know each other?  Could there be a common platform where people could refer to and vote smartly?  This year, the ThunderGo arose out of such demands.  This was an ultra-complicated system to allocate votes.  Many, candidates and voters alike, blamed the plan as lacking transparency and making things worse.  I wonder there was any way to evaluate or ascertain the usefulness of the system, as there was no way to know what the results would have been without the system in play.

The ThunderGo was new, but large scale vote allocation was nothing new.  Many people treated it as a fact that there existed one or more strong organizations that could master the results of elections.  It was not enough to move voters, they could orchestrate voters.  They were experts in planning and executing vote allocations.  It is the norm in some developing countries to orchestrate voting.  Farmers, elderly and less educated people are mass-transported to polling centers to fit in the jigsaws.  In Hong Kong, the conductor was in superb advantage in the District Council (Second) Functional Constituency Election where 2 million voters were going to elect 5 members with one vote from each voter.  Theoretically, the results of elections should be easily fixed with high confidence interval.  However, election results were as unpredictable as the stock market.  Even with the power of a wealthy country and acting-out-of-the-box interventions, manipulation of the stock market was as good as coaching a bad lover.   

This year, the Legco Election result was unpredictable to me.  And I wondered if there was anyone who could foresee it.  If the mastermind behind was so powerful and resourceful, why couldn’t it halo all the candidates it blessed?  Some blamed the ThunderGo.  Some gave credit to CY.  The controversial disqualification of 6 potential candidates by the Electoral Affairs Commission might add fuel to the opposite camp.  Whether the dropout of a near-zero-support candidate served as a straw could be a good research subject.  The final day strategic dropout of 5 pro-democratic candidates was surly significant, especially for the District Council (Second) Functional Constituency.  But on the other “hand”, there were trucks loaded with loyal voters.  Employers and employees of large companies were mobilized.  Even civil servants were given hearty reminders of how to vote.  Government officials appeared on TV repeatedly and stated their opinions of how to vote, not unlike speculators of the stock market.

This was a beautiful demonstration of gestaltism.  The whole had a reality of its own.  I guessed the aforementioned factors did affect the result.  But butterfly effect was more important.  Hong Kong played Chuck Close and painted an interesting picture with each citizen, voters and non-voters inclusive.  It was a question of chicken and egg, that whether a city deserved bad rulers when citizen so chose not to vote, or to be truck-loaded to vote.  But you never knew whether our oldies were wise enough to ignore the numbers written on their palms, and exercised their free wills.

People usually refer to these as collective wisdom.  I like the term collective karma more.


  (Source: HKMA News September 2016)