2017年2月26日 星期日

There is a Reason


One man one disease!” was one of the diagnostic principles taught by medical professors while I was a medical student.  It was not until I graduated and went into practice for a few years before I realized the beauty of this principle.  Of course in real life, one man could suffer from more than one disease.  But if we tried to explain different symptoms with several diseases causing each, such as influenza for fever, trauma for splinter haemorrhage, mitral valve prolapse for heart murmur and urinary tract infection for haematuria, then we might miss the important diagnosis of infective endocarditis.  This principle reminded us that in a diagnostic process, we should try to connect everything, to think hard for THE reason behind.  It was after such careful consideration that we could then talk about a patient with two diseases, or better an acute disease in a patient with a chronic condition.

I loved this diagnostic principle so much that I tried to generalize it for everyday life activities, particularly in speculating human behavior.  There was a reason behind why people acted in a one way rather than the other.  Again, there ought to be many underlying causes for an action.  It could be out of animal instinct, it could be just by chance, or it could aim at something, or actually it could be a result of all the reasons, known and unknown.  But first considering whether there was A reason served its purpose.  In Singapore, while you mocked at your local friend who carried an umbrella in a sunny afternoon, the next moment you got drenched.  In 1997, some people realized too late why others stayed away from the stock market.

It was difficult to preach with theory alone.  So I translated the theory into practical terms: “When you think others are stupid, first consider whether you are the stupid one. It was far too easy to think that others were stupid.  As you gained in experience and intelligence, it became more and more true that some people were real stupid.  You might see no reason why people acted in such strange manner, or more frequently, there were smarter ways to tackle.  However, follow my principle if you cannot afford to be the stupid one.  In Chapter 28 of Jin Yong’s (金庸) famous novel The Heaven Sward and Dragon Saber (倚天屠龍記), Zao Min was able to decipher the plot to escape of a council member of the Beggars’ Association by noticing his strange stance and posture.  Both of them were not stupid.

In real life, a candidate of the Chief Executive Election deliberately exposed her ignorance.  She did not know how to ride an MTR.  She described in detail her failure in tackling an obstacle of lacking toilet paper.  People from all walks of life regarded her stupid, or at least unskillful both in problem solving and in PR.  Guided by my principle, I searched for a reason behind.  It would be negligence for a candidate and her PR team to show clumsiness and ignorance in an arena of election activities.  It was not difficult to rehearse an MTR tour nor to proof-read a blog diary.  For election activities, apart from the consideration of sending what sort of messages, another concern was the target group.  It would be logical to deduce that the candidate tried to identify herself with the second-generation-tycoons who, in the mindset of her and her team, were deficient in the knowledge of MTR and toilet paper purchase.  By careful calculation, the side-effect of annoying the public was tolerated.

Working out the reason behind an action led to the question of whether we could make use of our finding.  If a candidate was willing to scarify her public image in exchange of potential votes, would it be possible for members of the Medical Subsector or Pan-democratic members of the Election Committee to negotiate for favorable terms and policies?

If we went back 5 years ago, CY was desperate for votes.  He got many crucial votes from our medical colleagues because he “was willing to listen to us and to consider our needs and concerns”.  What happened then was history.  Our concerns were addressed with policies trying to realize our nightmares.

Knowing the reason behind did not mean that you could make the quantum leap and get something useful out of it.  In the “Heaven Sward”, Zao Min could not stop that hypocritical beggar from gaining power even though she spotted out his hidden agenda.  Willing to identify oneself with the rich did not necessarily mean that one would negotiate with doctors.  Skillfully designed promises with calculated ambiguities built-in were just fantasies.  We could not sue the CE for breach of contract even if a real promise was made.  In a system where an orchestrated majority could be secured, there was hardly any say for third parties.

It is just mind-game.


(Source: HKMA News February 2017)